Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.033221 0.035651 0.038078 0.040679 0.043385 0.046114 0.049070
2025-09-07 0.028343 0.032199 0.036176 0.040568 0.045268 0.050132 0.055533
2025-09-14 0.024996 0.029639 0.034544 0.040079 0.046117 0.052477 0.059652
2025-09-21 0.022420 0.027612 0.033212 0.039645 0.046779 0.054399 0.063105
2025-09-28 0.019807 0.025326 0.031400 0.038500 0.046492 0.055139 0.065132
2025-10-05 0.018711 0.024658 0.031309 0.039188 0.048159 0.057959 0.069382
2025-10-12 0.017551 0.023826 0.030956 0.039509 0.049354 0.060206 0.072951
2025-10-19 0.016202 0.022686 0.030173 0.039271 0.049857 0.061628 0.075558
2025-10-26 0.015530 0.022312 0.030249 0.039995 0.051431 0.064238 0.079482
2025-11-02 0.014688 0.021680 0.029976 0.040274 0.052461 0.066204 0.082658
2025-11-09 0.013743 0.020868 0.029445 0.040208 0.053059 0.067650 0.085221
2025-11-16 0.012996 0.020268 0.029140 0.040385 0.053917 0.069378 0.088092
2025-11-23 0.012058 0.019415 0.028535 0.040228 0.054428 0.070768 0.090662
2025-11-30 0.011193 0.018625 0.027988 0.040134 0.055016 0.072259 0.093371
2025-12-07 0.010226 0.017645 0.027155 0.039647 0.055098 0.073130 0.095336
2025-12-14 0.009360 0.016752 0.026395 0.039216 0.055219 0.074024 0.097309
2025-12-21 0.008278 0.015495 0.025110 0.038078 0.054437 0.073812 0.097953
2025-12-28 0.007978 0.015337 0.025263 0.038762 0.055892 0.076272 0.101755
2026-01-04 0.007563 0.014988 0.025143 0.039081 0.056886 0.078171 0.104887
2026-01-11 0.006979 0.014353 0.024611 0.038845 0.057169 0.079200 0.106974
2026-01-18 0.006761 0.014262 0.024815 0.039564 0.058649 0.081680 0.110797
2026-01-25 0.006409 0.013944 0.024691 0.039841 0.059563 0.083466 0.113788
2026-02-01 0.005970 0.013464 0.024321 0.039776 0.060032 0.084700 0.116109